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International Nature Conservation

Nature Conservation 2/2010 20. 4. 2010 International Nature Conservation Print article in pdf

From Kyoto to Copenhagen and After

author: Bedřich Moldan

From Kyoto to Copenhagen and After

In December 2009, the 15thmeeting of the Conference of the Parties to the United Nations Convention on Climate Change was held in Copenhagen.

In a few months, in late November and early December 2010, the 16thmeeting is scheduled to be held in Cancun, Mexico. Nevertheless, it has been clear that a hoped-for legally binding document replacing the Kyoto Protocol which shall expire in 2012 will not be agreed there. It is almost surely that there will be a gap possibly filled by a provisory, interim agreement. Moreover, a basic political consensus should be reached in Cancun which would allow signing a real legally binding document immediately after the meeting. The current state of affairs has not been too favourable. All fears on, doubts and problems accompanying the Copenhagen negotiations have been continuing. Unfortunately, there are no signs that such difficulties have been somehow successfully solved. On the other hand, there have been more and more warning voices that climate change has been advancing more rapidly that it was expected even a year or two years ago. A controversy, caused by a debate after the Internet leak of thousands of emails and other documents hacked from an English climate research unit (the so-called Climate Gate) and by a small mistake over melting Himalayan glaciers appeared in the last IPCC report should not change the basic patterns of the climate change phenomenon itself.